America's Vaccination Problem

Politics Trump Public Health

The United States is confronting a serious resurgence of vaccine-preventable diseases, exemplified by the measles outbreak in Texas and New Mexico that has now infected over 124 people and claimed the life of an unvaccinated child. This crisis coincides with multiple failures in public health leadership and unprecedented political interference in evidence-based practice.

Recent Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) analysis reveals that the percentage of children with a vaccine-hesitant parent varies dramatically by vaccine type — from 56% for COVID-19 vaccines to 12% for routine childhood vaccines. This growing hesitancy has created dangerous gaps in community protection across the country.

In a rapid succession of alarming developments within a single week, we've witnessed a new confirmed measles case in Kentucky from an international traveler, Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Robert F. Kennedy (RFK) Jr.'s cancellation of a multimillion-dollar project to develop an oral COVID-19 vaccine, and the FDA's abrupt cancellation of a critical advisory committee meeting on next season's flu vaccine formulation. During his first cabinet meeting appearance, Kennedy incorrectly stated there had been two measles deaths (there was one) and downplayed the outbreak as "not unusual" — a claim physicians immediately contradicted.

This confluence of declining vaccination rates, active disease outbreaks, and systematic dismantling of public health infrastructure represents a crisis entirely of our own making. It’s 2025 and children are dying from diseases we've known how to prevent for decades, not because of scientific limitations, but because of a collective failure to prioritize evidence over ideology.

A Dismantling in Real Time

At the February 27 cabinet meeting, HHS Secretary Kennedy made several troubling statements about the ongoing measles outbreak. "Measles outbreaks are not unusual," Kennedy claimed, an assertion quickly refuted by medical experts.

"Classifying it as 'not unusual' would be inaccurate," said Dr. Christina Johns, a pediatric emergency physician. "Usually an outbreak is in the order of a handful, not over 100 people that we have seen recently with this latest outbreak in West Texas."

Dr. Philip Huang, director of Dallas County Health and Human Services, was more direct: "This is not usual. Fortunately, it's not usual, and it's been because of the effectiveness of the vaccine."

Kennedy's statement that two people had died from measles was also incorrect – Texas officials confirmed there has been one death, an unvaccinated school-aged child. His claim that patients were hospitalized "mainly for quarantine" was astonishingly false. Local health officials reported that most patients required treatment for serious respiratory issues, including supplemental oxygen and IV fluids.

Meanwhile, in just his first two weeks in office, Kennedy has taken several actions that threaten to undermine vaccine development and public health guidance:

1. The FDA's Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee (VRBPAC) meeting scheduled for March was abruptly canceled. This annual meeting is crucial for selecting the strains to be included in next season's flu vaccines. A wise move in the middle of the worst flu season in 15 years. Norman Baylor, former director of the FDA's Office of Vaccine Research and Review, told NBC News: "I'm quite shocked. The VRBPAC is critical for making the decision on strain selection for the next influenza vaccine season."

2. Kennedy halted a $460 million contract with Vaxart to develop a new COVID-19 vaccine in pill form, just days before 10,000 people were scheduled to begin clinical trials.

3. Just days earlier, Kennedy indefinitely postponed a meeting of the CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP), which helps determine vaccine recommendations for states and insurers.

Dr. Paul Offit, a member of VRBPAC and vaccine expert at Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, expressed his dismay: "I feel like the world is upside down. We aren't doing the things we need to do to protect ourselves."

Evidence of Vaccine Success Amid Political Attacks

In striking irony, the CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) just published new data demonstrating the remarkable success of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination program in preventing cervical cancer. During 2008–2022, cervical precancer incidence decreased 79% among screened women aged 20–24 years, the age group most likely to have been vaccinated. Higher-grade precancer incidence decreased 80% in the same group.

This success story illustrates what effective vaccination programs can achieve when supported by consistent policy and healthcare provider recommendations. The HPV vaccine has prevented countless future cancers in a generation of young people, with similar potential for other vaccines when politics doesn't interfere with public health.

The contrast between this evidence of vaccine success and the current administration's assault on public health infrastructure could not be more glaring. At the very moment when scientific data confirms vaccines' life-saving impact, political appointees are systematically dismantling the systems designed to implement and monitor vaccination programs.

The False Promise of "Informed Consent"

Kennedy has justified halting vaccine promotion by claiming he wants future campaigns to focus on "informed consent" instead. However, experts warn this framing misrepresents the concept and creates dangerous misperceptions about vaccines (which, to be fair, would make it right in RFK Jr.’s wheelhouse—if only that were the actual job description).

Mark Navin, Lainie Friedman Ross, and Jason A. Wasserman explained in STAT News: "True 'informed consent' requires an understanding of how people process information about risks, and public health must promote collective benefits rather than focus entirely on individual autonomy."

Simply listing potential vaccine side effects without context creates predictable cognitive biases, similar to hearing about a shark attack and becoming afraid to swim despite the infinitesimal risk. As these experts note, "It is more like handing someone a list of everything that could go wrong on an airplane without mentioning that flying is far safer than driving."

The CDC's canceled 'Wild to Mild' campaign appropriately conveyed what matters most: vaccines' ability to turn severe, potentially deadly disease cases into manageable, mild illnesses—reducing hospitalizations, complications, and deaths. Replacing this messaging with uncontextualized risk information isn't enhancing informed consent — it's promoting fear and hesitancy.

The Expanding Measles Threat

Measles is making a dangerous comeback. The Kentucky Department of Health confirmed its first case since 2023 in an adult who recently traveled internationally. While contagious, the individual visited a Planet Fitness gym, potentially exposing others—a not-so-subtle reminder that wiping down equipment is more than just good manners.

This case adds to outbreaks in nine states, including Texas, New Mexico, Alaska, Georgia, New Jersey, New York, and Rhode Island. The most severe remains in West Texas’ Gaines County, where nearly 14% of schoolchildren have religious exemptions from required vaccinations.

On February 26, an unvaccinated child in that Texas community became the first U.S. measles fatality since 2015 and the first pediatric death since 2003. Before vaccines, measles killed 400 to 500 Americans annually.

These outbreaks are particularly tragic given that the MMR vaccine is exceptionally safe and effective. Two doses provide 97% protection against a disease that, without vaccination, would infect nearly every child by age 15. Among 10,000 measles cases, 10 to 30 children will die, 2,000 will require hospitalization, and over 1,500 will suffer serious complications, some with lifelong consequences.

By contrast, severe vaccine side effects are extraordinarily rare—fewer than four in 10,000 people experience fever-related seizures, blood clotting issues, or allergic reactions. As beloved children’s author Roald Dahl wrote after losing his daughter Olivia to measles encephalitis in 1962: "I think it is almost a crime to allow your child to go unimmunized."

Roald Dahl and the open letter he wrote in 1986, encouraging parents to vaccinate their children against measles. (Credit: Ronald Dumont/Daily Express/Getty Images)

Declining Vaccination Rates

Vaccination rates for measles and other preventable diseases have been trending downward, creating dangerous gaps in community protection. According to research from the Center for American Progress, kindergarten MMR vaccination rates have fallen below the critical 95% threshold needed for herd immunity. Since the 2019-20 school year, coverage has dropped from 95% to approximately 93% nationwide, leaving over 250,000 children vulnerable to infection.

This decline is even more concerning at the state level. Thirty-nine states saw vaccination rates fall below the 95% threshold in the 2023-24 school year, an increase from 28 states during the 2019-20 school year. Overall, less than 93% of kindergarten children were up to date on their state-required vaccines in 2023-24, compared with 95% four years earlier.

COVID-19 and influenza vaccination rates show similar concerning trends. According to the CDC's vaccination tracking data, only 23.1% of adults have received the 2024-25 COVID vaccine, while 45.3% have received the seasonal flu vaccine. For adults 65 and older, these rates are somewhat higher but still insufficient – 44.4% for COVID and 70.2% for flu.

A 2022 modeling study estimated that over 9.1 million children (13.1%) in the United States are currently susceptible to measles infection. If pandemic-level vaccination declines persist without catch-up efforts, that number could rise to over 15 million children (21.7%), significantly increasing the risk of larger and more frequent outbreaks.

When Vaccines Become Political Identifiers

Vaccine-preventable diseases disproportionately impact vulnerable communities. Flu vaccination rates vary significantly by race, with 49% of White adults vaccinated, compared to 42% of Black adults and 35% of Hispanic adults. These disparities stem from access barriers, medical mistrust, and inconsistent provider recommendations.

The politicization of vaccines exacerbates these challenges. Support for school vaccine mandates has dropped from 82% in 2019 to 70% in 2023, driven by a sharp decline among Republicans (79% to 57%), while Democratic support remains stable at 85-88%. Similar trends appear among White evangelical Protestants, where support for school vaccine requirements fell from 77% to 58%. This geographic clustering of under-vaccinated populations fuels outbreaks—exactly what’s unfolding in West Texas.

Partisan divides extend beyond COVID-19. Republicans report lower annual flu vaccination rates than Democrats (41% vs. 56%), and among those fully vaccinated against COVID-19, Democrats are nearly three times as likely to have received a recent booster (32% vs. 12%). Vaccine hesitancy also correlates with education levels, further compounding risks in communities with both lower socioeconomic status and conservative political leanings.

Addressing these disparities requires public health strategies that acknowledge political polarization while working beyond it. Culturally tailored messaging, trusted community voices, and policies that eliminate access barriers are essential to counteract the social and ideological forces shaping vaccine decisions today.

State-Level Assaults: Louisiana's Ban on Vaccine Promotion

Federal attacks on vaccine policy are now playing out at the state level. In February 2025, the Louisiana Department of Health announced it would no longer promote mass vaccination through health fairs or media campaigns—a directive from Surgeon General Dr. Ralph Abraham that drew immediate backlash from the medical community.

Nine state medical organizations, including the Louisiana State Medical Society, issued a joint letter condemning the move: "Immunizations should not be politicized. Healthcare should not be politicized. Public health should not be politicized. Your relationship with your physician should not be politicized."

Dr. Vincent Shaw, president of the Louisiana Academy of Family Physicians, called the opposition unprecedented and warned that halting vaccine promotion could bring back diseases he's "only seen in textbooks, like measles and rubella." Meanwhile, Abraham has misrepresented his credentials, falsely identifying as a board-certified family medicine physician—raising serious concerns about the expertise guiding public health policy.

The consequences are already surfacing. Dr. Mikki Bouquet, a Baton Rouge pediatrician, reports growing parental skepticism about routine vaccinations. "Now parents are asking which vaccines are really necessary. That's absurd—it’s like asking which vitamin matters most. You need them all."

Even Republican Senator Bill Cassidy, despite voting to confirm RFK Jr. as HHS Secretary, has criticized the policy, warning that cutting vaccine outreach ignores the reality of parents' lives.

This shift underscores a troubling trend: political ideology overriding evidence-based public health, with the most vulnerable populations poised to suffer the consequences.

The Fight for Evidence-Based Solutions

This past week has marked a dangerous escalation of political interference in public health. The cancellation of vaccine advisory meetings, the halting of innovative vaccine development, and the downplaying of a deadly measles outbreak signal a fundamental shift away from science-based policy.

Healthcare professionals can no longer afford to stay on the sidelines. Beyond their clinical roles, they must become active policy advocates by:

1. Contacting state and federal representatives to oppose policies that undermine vaccination

2. Engaging with professional organizations to develop unified advocacy efforts

3. Providing expert testimony at legislative hearings on vaccine-related bills

4. Writing op-eds and speaking to media about vaccine safety and efficacy

5. Countering misinformation as trusted community voices

6. Supporting candidates who prioritize evidence-based public health policies

Medical organizations must also wield their influence more effectively. The recent joint statement from nine Louisiana medical groups demonstrates the power of unified action, while hospital systems—often major employers—hold political capital that should be used to safeguard public health infrastructure.

Community advocates play a critical role, too. Parents, faith leaders, and business owners can amplify vaccine messaging and reinforce public health norms. Even conservatives who support science-based medicine must speak out. As Senator Bill Cassidy’s rebuke of Louisiana’s vaccine policy shows, principled advocacy can transcend partisan divides when children's health is at stake.

The choice is clear: we either defend decades of vaccination progress or risk a return to the preventable suffering of the pre-vaccine era. Healthcare providers willing to advocate beyond clinic walls will determine which path we take.

Partisan Battles Put Public Health Programs in Jeopardy

Federal support for public health programs stood at a critical inflection point in 2024, with mounting evidence that political polarization threatens to undermine decades of progress in disease prevention and healthcare access. The O'Neill Institute's analysis of the HIV response highlights a broader pattern affecting America's entire public health infrastructure: an erosion of bipartisan cooperation is creating tangible negative impacts on healthcare delivery and outcomes.

Recent developments illustrate this crisis. The President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), historically celebrated as one of the most successful public health initiatives in U.S. history, received only a one-year reauthorization in March 2024 instead of its traditional five-year renewal. This shortened timeframe introduces uncertainty for partner countries and threatens program stability. Similarly, Tennessee's rejection of $8.3 million in Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) HIV prevention funding exemplifies how state-level political decisions can directly impact public health services and infrastructure.

The implementation of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), while advancing certain healthcare affordability goals, has created unintended consequences for safety-net providers. Changes to drug pricing and reimbursement structures are affecting 340B program revenues that support critical healthcare services for vulnerable populations.

These challenges emerge against a backdrop of chronic underfunding, with the Prevention and Public Health Fund losing $12.95 billion between FY 2013-2029. This combination of political polarization and resource constraints threatens to create long-lasting negative impacts on healthcare access and population health outcomes, demanding a renewed commitment to depoliticizing essential public health infrastructure and services.

An Erosion of Bipartisan Support

The deterioration of bipartisan cooperation in public health policy represents a significant shift from historical norms that prioritized health outcomes over political ideology. PEPFAR exemplifies this change. Created under President George W. Bush's administration in 2003, PEPFAR has saved over 25 million lives and currently provides HIV prevention and treatment services to millions across 55 countries. Despite this documented success, the program's 2024 reauthorization became entangled in partisan debates over abortion rights.

"I'm disappointed," Rep. Michael McCaul (R-Texas) stated. "Honestly, I was looking forward to marking up a five-year reauthorization, and now I'm in this abortion debate." McCaul added that "a lot of the Freedom Caucus guys would not want to give aid to Africa." The inclusion of abortion rights in the reauthorization debate reflects ongoing polarization within Congress, which has hindered the passage of traditionally bipartisan public health initiatives. This opposition led to an unprecedented short-term reauthorization through March 2025, creating instability for partner countries and threatening program sustainability.

At the state level, Tennessee's decision to reject $8.3 million in CDC HIV prevention funding reflects similar political calculations overshadowing public health considerations. The state's choice to forgo federal support impacts disease surveillance, testing services, and prevention programs that serve people living with HIV and those at risk of acquiring HIV. This rejection of federal funding occurred despite Tennessee ranking 7th among U.S. states for new HIV diagnoses in 2022.

Such decisions mark a stark departure from historical bipartisan support for public health initiatives. Previous health emergencies, from polio to the early HIV epidemic, generated collaborative responses across party lines. The Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program, established in 1990, exemplified this approach, receiving consistent bipartisan support for reauthorization until 2009, its last reauthorization.

The shift away from bipartisan cooperation extends beyond specific programs to affect broader global health initiatives. PEPFAR's instability impacts America's global health leadership position and threatens the progress made in HIV prevention and treatment worldwide. The program's uncertain future affects procurement planning, workforce retention, and long-term strategy development in partner countries, potentially reversing decades of progress in global health security.

Funding Crisis and Infrastructure Impacts

The public health funding landscape reveals a pattern of chronic underinvestment that threatens core infrastructure capabilities. The Prevention and Public Health Fund (PPHF), established under Section 4002 of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010 (ACA) to provide sustained investment in prevention and public health programs, has lost $12.95 billion between FY 2013-2029 through repeated cuts and diversions. These reductions represent approximately one-third of the fund's originally allocated $33 billion, significantly limiting its ability to support essential public health services.

The CDC faces mounting infrastructure challenges due to stagnant funding. While COVID-19 response funds provided temporary relief, these emergency appropriations have been largely obligated or rescinded. The Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 rescinded approximately $13.2 billion in emergency response funding from public health agencies, including the CDC, creating a significant funding cliff. Programs facing severe reductions include the Advanced Molecular Detection program, which will revert to its annual base appropriation of $40 million from a one-time supplemental of $1.7 billion, severely limiting disease surveillance capabilities.

State-level impacts manifest in critical staffing shortages and outdated systems. Public health experts estimate that state and local health departments need to increase their workforce by nearly 80%, requiring an additional 26,000 full-time positions at the state level and 54,000 at the local level. The National Wastewater Surveillance System, crucial for early detection of disease outbreaks, faces reduction from $500 million in supplemental funding to a proposed $20 million in FY 2025, threatening its operational viability.

These funding constraints create cascading effects across the public health system. The Public Health Infrastructure Grant program, which has awarded $4.35 billion to strengthen foundational capabilities across 107 state, territorial, and local health departments, expires in FY 2027 without a clear sustainability plan. Similarly, the Bridge Access Program, ensuring COVID-19 vaccine access for 25-30 million adults without health insurance, ended in August 2024, leaving millions without access to updated vaccines. These funding cuts have significantly curtailed prevention services, limiting the CDC's ability to maintain disease surveillance systems and provide timely interventions.

Healthcare Access and Safety Net Impacts

The implementation of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) has created unintended consequences for safety-net providers, particularly through its impact on the 340B Drug Pricing Program. Research examining 340B-eligible hospitals reveals concerning trends in charity care provision, with only 9 out of 38 hospitals (23.7%) reporting increases in charity care as a percentage of annual revenues after gaining 340B eligibility. This decline in charity care occurs despite significant revenue increases from 340B participation, raising questions about program effectiveness in expanding healthcare access for vulnerable populations.

Data indicates that hospital participation in the 340B program correlates with substantial revenue growth but diminishing charity care services. The average decrease in charity care provision as a percentage of annual revenues was 14.79% across examined hospitals. This trend is particularly concerning in states with high poverty rates. For example, three West Virginia hospitals—Cabell-Huntington Hospital, Pleasant Valley Hospitals, and Charleston Area Medical Center—reported some of the largest decreases in charity care despite serving a state where 28.1% of people earn less than 150% of the Federal Poverty Level.

Federally Qualified Health Centers (FQHCs) face unique challenges under these changing dynamics. Unlike hospitals, FQHCs must reinvest every 340B dollar earned into patient care or operations to maximize access. However, the IRA's implementation of Medicare drug price negotiations and insulin cost caps affects the rebate calculations that support these reinvestments, potentially reducing available resources for patient care.

Medication access challenges extend beyond 340B implications. Pharmacy Benefit Managers (PBMs) have responded to IRA provisions by adjusting formularies, sometimes excluding medications that previously generated significant rebates. This particularly impacts insulin coverage, where certain products have been dropped from formularies despite the IRA's intent to improve insulin affordability. These decisions create new barriers to medication access for people who rely on safety-net providers for healthcare services.

Public Health Consequences

The convergence of political polarization and funding constraints creates measurable negative impacts on disease prevention efforts, weakening the capacity of public health systems to effectively address emerging and ongoing health threats. Data from the CDC shows that despite a 12% decrease in new HIV diagnoses over the past five years, driven largely by a 30% reduction among young people, progress in reducing new infections has stalled. The lack of sufficient funding, compounded by political challenges, has limited the capacity to expand prevention services, enhance outreach, and maintain necessary treatment programs. The 31,800 new HIV diagnoses reported in 2022 highlight how flat funding and political barriers have hindered further advances. These barriers prevent scaling up successful prevention strategies, limit access to innovative treatments, and constrain efforts to address disparities in vulnerable communities. Notably, significant disparities persist, particularly among gay men across all racial and ethnic groups, transgender women, Black people, and Latino people. These populations continue to face systemic barriers to healthcare access, stigma, and a lack of targeted resources, all of which contribute to ongoing inequities in health outcomes.

Vaccine hesitancy, intensified by political division, threatens population health outcomes. The CDC reports that routine vaccination rates for kindergarten-age children have not returned to pre-pandemic levels, while exemption claims have increased. Nearly three-quarters of states failed to meet the federal target vaccination rate of 95% for measles, mumps, and rubella during the 2022-23 school year, increasing outbreak risks.

Health disparities are exacerbated when political decisions override public health considerations. Tennessee's rejection of CDC funding exemplifies how political choices can disproportionately impact communities already experiencing health inequities by reducing access to essential prevention and treatment services. Such decisions particularly affect regions where HIV rates among transgender women increased by 25%, and Latino gay men now account for 39% of all HIV diagnoses among men who have sex with men.

Community health center sustainability faces mounting challenges as funding mechanisms become increasingly unstable. The expiration of COVID-19 emergency funding, combined with uncertain 340B revenues and growing workforce shortages, threatens these essential safety-net providers. Public health experts estimate an 80% workforce gap in state and local health departments, hampering their ability to deliver essential services and respond to emerging health threats.

Uncertain Future Under New Administration

With Donald Trump’s return to the White House, the future of the nation's public health programs remains uncertain. The president-elect’s stance on health policy has historically emphasized deregulation, work requirements, and reductions in safety net programs, and early indications suggest a continuation of these priorities.

The new administration is poised to bring changes that could scale back Medicaid, reduce the Affordable Care Act’s consumer protections, and restrict reproductive health access—all of which have the potential to exacerbate existing health inequities and widen the gap in healthcare access for marginalized populations. Furthermore, the inclusion of vaccine skeptic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. among Trump’s advisors could undermine public confidence in vaccination campaigns and other science-backed public health interventions.

Although Trump has not explicitly targeted programs like PEPFAR, the Ryan White Program, or other core public health initiatives, the broader agenda of cutting federal funding and shifting health policy decisions to the state level raises significant concerns. These shifts could ultimately weaken the country’s safety net programs, leading to an increase in uninsured rates and preventable health disparities.

The reemergence of a more partisan approach to healthcare policy, especially one with a focus on cost-cutting and minimal regulatory oversight, risks destabilizing public health progress made over the last several decades. Public health stakeholders—ranging from healthcare providers to patient advocates—will need to prepare for a period of heightened uncertainty and potentially significant changes to the public health landscape.

The coming months will likely determine how public health priorities and programs evolve in this new political era. Advocacy groups, healthcare professionals, and policymakers must remain vigilant and ready to respond as the Trump administration shapes its healthcare policy agenda, one that could either sustain or significantly alter the course of public health in the United States. Such shifts threaten to undermine the nation’s public health stability, with repercussions for healthcare costs, access, and the ability to prevent and control emerging health threats.